Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Researchers said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)
Medvedev, Vice Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation: If Ukraine understands today's reality and takes into account Putin's proposal, Russia is ready to resume negotiations with Ukraine.At least 15 people were killed in the attack on the capital of Northern Darfur, Sudan. On the 11th, government officials of Northern Darfur in western Sudan said that Sudan's rapid support forces shelled a market in El Fasher, the capital of the state, and Zam Zam refugee camp that day, which has caused 15 deaths.Central Economic Work Conference: Next year, a more active fiscal policy will be implemented, the fiscal deficit ratio will be raised, and extra-long special government bonds will be issued. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, maintain a basic balance of international payments, and promote the simultaneous growth of residents' income and economic growth. The meeting demanded that next year, we should persist in striving for progress in stability, promoting stability through progress, keeping integrity and innovation, establishing before breaking, system integration and coordination. It is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. (CCTV News)
Morgan Stanley downgraded Hikvision to equal rating, with a target price of RMB in 36 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, was previously rated as over-matched. The target price is 36 yuan RMB, which is up by 14%.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)US stocks closed: Nasdaq stood at 20,000 points for the first time in history, and star technology stocks such as Google and Tesla hit record highs. US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow down 0.22%, the S&P 500 index up 0.82% and the Nasdaq up 1.77%, breaking through 20,000 points for the first time and hitting a new record high. Star technology stocks are climbing, with Tesla, Google, Amazon, Meta and Netflix all hitting record highs. Among them, Tesla and Google rose by nearly 6%, while Amazon, Meta and Nai soared by more than 2%. Bitcoin regained its position of $100,000, and cryptocurrency concept stocks soared collectively. MicroStrategy rose by more than 9%, Riot Platforms rose by more than 6%, and Bit Digital and Coinbase rose by nearly 4%. Gold and silver mining stocks generally rose, Cordillen Mining rose more than 5%, Pan American Silver rose more than 3%, and harmony Gold and Hekela Mining rose nearly 3%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13